ESPNcricinfo looks at the best and the worst bets of the IPL 2016 based on player performance and their auction-purse costs
Shiva Jayaraman30-May-20164:33
Which players were the best return on investment in IPL 2016?
Yuzvendra Chahal finished as the second highest wicket-taker in this IPL behind Bhuvneshwar Kumar. Chahal took 21 wickets from 13 matches to Bhuvneshwar’s 23 from 17 matches. Bhuvneshwar finished with an economy rate of 7.42, but bowled during the end overs for Sunrisers Hyderabad. Chahal, who bowled largely at M. Chinnaswamy, returned an economy of 8.15. One could argue that Chahal pulled at least as much weight for Royal Challengers Bangalore this season, as Bhuvneshwar did for Sunrisers.However, another relevant factor is the cost incurred by the franchise to acquire a player. For roughly similar contributions from the two players, their respective franchises paid substantially different amounts: while Sunrisers had to splurge INR 4.25 crores for Bhuvneshwar in the 2014 IPL auction, Royal Challengers bagged Chahal for INR 10 lakhs. Here’s a look at some of the purchases this season that worked and some that didn’t.Cricket includes a lot of variables – some quantifiable and others hardly so – which need to be factored in to put a value to a performance, with bat, ball or in the field. Since the aim is to create a rough idea of the types of purchases, only information that is available in scorecards is used.The following match information has been used to arrive at ‘Points’ earned by players for each match: runs scored, strike rate, wickets taken, economy, catches taken, stumpings and run-outs effected. Players earn points for batting, bowling and fielding. Batting points are earned based on runs scored by a batsman weighted down, or up, by his strike rate relative to other batsmen in the match. Bowlers earn points based on their relative economy in a match and the quality of batsmen they dismiss. For this purpose, batsmen are classified into four categories based on their recent form. A batsman or a bowler could get negative points in a match depending on his relative strike rate or economy in that match. Fielding points are awarded for run-outs, catches and stumpings. Match contexts have not been taken into account.An approximate amount of INR 441.8 crores was spent by franchises on building their teams this season and a total of 30285 Points were earned by players. For each point that the players earned, their franchise spent an average of INR 1.46 lakhs. A player creates value for his franchise based on the points he has earned in the season. For example, Mustafizur Rahman earned 466.11 points, thereby creating a value of INR 6.8 crores (466.11 multiplied by 1.46 lakhs) for Sunrisers. Considering the franchise spent INR 1.4 crores of their auction purse money on him, Mustafizur generated notional gains amounting to INR 5.4 crores (6.8 crores minus 1.4 crores) for Sunrisers. Virat Kohli and David Warner are the top two points-earners and hence created the highest notional values this season. Kohli created a value of INR 14.8 crores and Warner followed with INR 14.4 crores. Following them, AB de Villiers, Shane Watson and Chris Morris made up the top-five value-creators this season.
Player Team Mats Runs SR Wkts Eco Catches/Stumpings/run-outs Points Value createdVirat Kohli RCB 16 973 152.03 – – 7 1013.97 14.80David Warner SRH 17 848 151.41 – – 4 989.95 14.40AB de Villiers RCB 16 687 168.79 – – 19 826.72 12.10Shane Watson RCB 16 179 133.58 20 8.58 10 648.16 9.40Chris Morris DD 12 195 178.89 13 7.00 11 647.49 8.60Sunrisers spent only INR 5.5 crores of their purse money on Warner as opposed to INR 12.5 Crores that Royal Challengers spent on Kohli. So, while Sunrisers gained INR 8.9 crores based on Warner’s performance, Royal Challengers gained INR 2.3 crores. Warner’s performance in this IPL and his cost of INR 5.5 crores makes him the player who created the highest notional returns for his team. Chahal follows next: his low cost of INR 10 lakhs, clubbed with high value created amounting to INR 8.4 crores makes him the second most profitable buy of the season. Andre Russell slots in at No. 3 with a cost of INR 60 lakhs and value created through performance amounting to INR 7.7 crores. Dhawal Kulkarni and Moises Henriques complete the top five players who created the highest returns for their respective franchises.
Player Team Auction purse cost Points Value created Value ReturnsDavid Warner Sunrisers Hyderabad 5.50 989.95 14.44 8.94Yuzvendra Chahal Royal Challengers Bangalore 0.10 573.30 8.36 8.26Andre Russell Kolkata Knight Riders 0.60 532.17 7.76 7.16Dhawal Kulkarni Gujarat Lions 2.00 583.82 8.51 6.51Moises Henriques Sunrisers Hyderabad 1.00 465.33 6.78 5.78Krunal Pandya Mumbai Indians 2.00 508.36 7.41 5.41Mustafizur Rahman Sunrisers Hyderabad 1.40 466.11 6.79 5.39Axar Patel Kings XI Punjab 0.75 404.70 5.90 5.15Sandeep Sharma Kings XI Punjab 0.85 411.52 6.00 5.15Dwayne Smith Gujarat Lions 2.29 510.66 7.44 5.14David Miller was the most unprofitable buy of the season. His 161 runs at a strike rate of 122.90, 10 catches and two run-outs could generate a value of INR 2.2 crores, a vast difference from auction purse cost of INR 12.5 crores, which meant he generated negative returns of INR 10.3 crores. MS Dhoni created value of INR 4.2 crores and ended up generating negative returns of INR 8.3 crores. Pawan Negi came at a high cost – he was the second most expensive purchase of the 2016 auction at INR 8.5 crores after Watson – but couldn’t make Delhi Daredevils’ XI in six of the 14 matches. Negi’s one wicket, 57 runs and two catches could generate a value of only INR 56 lakhs, a negative of INR 7.9 crores for the season. Mitchell Johnson and Suresh Raina – a late surge in his form notwithstanding – make up the bottom five.
Player Team Auction purse cost Points Value created Value ReturnsDavid Miller Kings XI Punjab 12.50 151.52 2.21 -10.28MS Dhoni Rising Pune Supergiants 12.50 288.20 4.20 -8.29Pawan Negi Delhi Daredevils 8.50 38.34 0.55 -7.94Mitchell Johnson Kings XI Punjab 6.50 -30.41 -0.44 -6.94Suresh Raina Gujarat Lions 12.50 391.66 5.71 -6.78A look now at what the collective performances of players did to the coffers of their franchises. Sunrisers spent approximately INR 50.94 crores, the least among all teams (After adjusting for the money saved owing to the unavailability of some of their players). The value generated by their players though was the second highest at INR 67.06 crores, making them the most profitable of the franchises with a return on investment (ROI) of 31.7%. Royal Challengers slot in at No. 2 with a ROI of 25.1%. Kolkata Knight Riders are the only other team with a positive ROI of 2.6%. Gujarat Lions earned a negative ROI of 4.0% in spite of topping in the league stage. Daredevils were the worst, with their expensive punts on players such as Negi, Mohammed Shami, Nathan Coulter-Nile and Shreyas Iyer working against them.
Team Player Costs (INR Cr) Value Created (INR Cr) Gains (INR Cr) ROISunrisers Hyderabad 50.93 67.06 16.12 31.7%Royal Challengers Bangalore 60.26 75.40 15.13 25.1%Kolkata Knight Riders 53.21 54.62 1.40 2.6%Gujarat Lions 55.65 53.42 -2.22 -4.0%Mumbai Indians 56.81 49.37 -7.43 -13.1%Kings XI Punjab 52.35 45.41 -6.93 -13.2%Rising Pune Supergiants 54.02 48.13 -5.88 -10.9%Delhi Daredevils 58.55 48.37 -10.17 -17.4%